The relationship between Treasury yields and prices is inversed, with a decrease in yields resulting in an increase in prices, and vice versa. Each basis point represents a 0.01% change in yield. Investors are closely monitoring the latest data and comments from Federal Reserve officials as they assess the economic outlook. There is uncertainty regarding when and how often the Fed will cut interest rates this year, with some policymakers suggesting fewer rate cuts than originally anticipated.
Recent reports show that durable goods orders exceeded expectations in February, while consumer confidence in the economy has decreased. Looking ahead, Fed Governor Christopher Waller is expected to speak on Wednesday, with key data including weekly initial jobless claims, GDP for the fourth quarter, and consumer sentiment insights scheduled for release on Thursday.
The most critical data for the week is expected on Friday, with the personal consumption expenditures price index, personal income, and spending figures being released. However, markets will be closed for Good Friday, meaning any market reaction to this data will occur the following week.